BERLIN: Europe's Muslim population will continue to grow over the next several a long time although all immigration to the continent must stop, consistent with a find out about published on Thursday.
The Pew Research Center file modeled three scenarios for estimating the collection of Muslims who could be residing in Europe by means of 2050. All three used a mid-2016 estimate of 25.8 million as a baseline, but assumed different future migration charges.
Under the ``0 migration'' scenario, an estimated 30 million Muslims would make up 7.4 percent of Europe's population by means of 2050 in comparison to the 4.nine percent they comprised remaining yr, the file projected. The researchers stated this is mostly as a result of Muslims are on reasonable 13 years younger than different Europeans and also have a higher birthrate, the Pew researchers stated.
The find out about estimates 58.8 million Muslims would account for 11.2 percent of the population in a ``medium migration'' scenario that has migration maintaining a ``common velocity'' _ defined by means of the Pew researchers as migration motivated by means of economic, tutorial and family reasons _ but no longer for in the hunt for asylum as a refugee.
In the ``prime migration'' scenario, the find out about tasks that the record go with the flow of migrants who came to Europe between 2015 and 2016 would continue indefinitely, leading to 75 million Muslims in Europe, a 14 percent increase, by means of the middle of the century.
Even with the most immigration, Muslims would "nonetheless be significantly smaller than the populations of each Christians and other people with no religion in Europe,'' the researchers concluded.
Muslim immigrants were a politically sensitive topic in Europe following the influx of rookies in 2015 and 2016. Some international locations have noticed backlashes that experience integrated populist parties campaigning on anti-Islam messages.
The find out about was once in response to census and survey knowledge, population registers, immigration knowledge and different sources. The 30 international locations it coated include the 28 European Union members, plus Norway and Switzerland.
Not all international locations could be affected evenly by means of future immigration, consistent with the Pew file. In the prime migration scenario, Germany and Sweden would have the biggest increases as a result of each international locations took in the most asylum-seekers during the height of the refugee crisis two years ago.
While Muslims made up 6 percent of Germany's population remaining yr, their proportion would cross up to 20 percent by means of 2050. Sweden's Muslims, who had been at 8 percent in 2016, would account for 31 percent of the population in that same scenario.
Meanwhile, some international locations that had relatively few Muslim citizens in 2016 would continue to have few by means of 2050 in all three scenarios.
The Pew Research Center file modeled three scenarios for estimating the collection of Muslims who could be residing in Europe by means of 2050. All three used a mid-2016 estimate of 25.8 million as a baseline, but assumed different future migration charges.
Under the ``0 migration'' scenario, an estimated 30 million Muslims would make up 7.4 percent of Europe's population by means of 2050 in comparison to the 4.nine percent they comprised remaining yr, the file projected. The researchers stated this is mostly as a result of Muslims are on reasonable 13 years younger than different Europeans and also have a higher birthrate, the Pew researchers stated.
The find out about estimates 58.8 million Muslims would account for 11.2 percent of the population in a ``medium migration'' scenario that has migration maintaining a ``common velocity'' _ defined by means of the Pew researchers as migration motivated by means of economic, tutorial and family reasons _ but no longer for in the hunt for asylum as a refugee.
In the ``prime migration'' scenario, the find out about tasks that the record go with the flow of migrants who came to Europe between 2015 and 2016 would continue indefinitely, leading to 75 million Muslims in Europe, a 14 percent increase, by means of the middle of the century.
Even with the most immigration, Muslims would "nonetheless be significantly smaller than the populations of each Christians and other people with no religion in Europe,'' the researchers concluded.
Muslim immigrants were a politically sensitive topic in Europe following the influx of rookies in 2015 and 2016. Some international locations have noticed backlashes that experience integrated populist parties campaigning on anti-Islam messages.
The find out about was once in response to census and survey knowledge, population registers, immigration knowledge and different sources. The 30 international locations it coated include the 28 European Union members, plus Norway and Switzerland.
Not all international locations could be affected evenly by means of future immigration, consistent with the Pew file. In the prime migration scenario, Germany and Sweden would have the biggest increases as a result of each international locations took in the most asylum-seekers during the height of the refugee crisis two years ago.
While Muslims made up 6 percent of Germany's population remaining yr, their proportion would cross up to 20 percent by means of 2050. Sweden's Muslims, who had been at 8 percent in 2016, would account for 31 percent of the population in that same scenario.
Meanwhile, some international locations that had relatively few Muslim citizens in 2016 would continue to have few by means of 2050 in all three scenarios.
Europe's Muslim population to grow, migration or not
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November 30, 2017
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