Q2 GDP growth rate at 6.3%, snaps five-quarter slide

NEW DELHI: India's GDP (Gross Domestic Product) enlargement rate for the second quarter (July-September) of the current fiscal stood at 6.three according to cent, government knowledge confirmed on Thursday. The latest figures bring forth causes for cheer as the country's GDP were sliding for the closing five quarters. The earlier quarter's (April- June) enlargement rate at 5.7 according to cent was once at a three-year low+ . The GDP enlargement for the corresponding quarter closing year stood at 7.5 according to cent.

The GVA (Gross Value Added) to the economy within the reporting quarter stood at 6.1 according to cent, up from 5.6 according to cent within the closing quarter.

The enlargement rate was once broadly expected to bounce back as there were clear signs of the companies popping out of slowdown+ caused by demonetisation and the GST rollout. A Reuters ballot of economists had predicted a enlargement rate of 6.four according to cent, whilst more than a few different establishments projected the velocity between 5.9 according to cent and seven.1 according to cent.

Finance Minister Arun Jaitley tweeted by way of his verified care for, hailing the uptick.


The surge got here mainly on the back of mining and production sectors. The mining industry jumped from a unfavourable enlargement of 0.7 according to cent in closing quarter to 5.5 according to cent this quarter. Similarly, production grew from 1.2 according to cent to 7 according to cent. However, some sectors like agriculture, financing & real estate and shipping & resorts have slowed down.

After the figures had been declared, Tushar Arora, senior economist of HDFC Bank said, " The GDP number is exactly in line with our expectations. Upbeat corporate earnings results have been reflected in the manufacturing sector.As the revival continues, we are likely to keep the annual (GDP) forecast unchanged at 6.5 per cent."

Urjit Patel, governor of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), had said closing month that signs of an upturn had been visual and enlargement was once more likely to best 7 according to cent.


Other indicators like passenger vehicle and tractor sales, industrial manufacturing, electrical energy era and rail cargo have all sped up up to now few months. Big firms have also in large part adjusted to the changes whilst making the most of diminished logistics prices. Prominent Indian companies had their easiest benefit enlargement in closing six quarters in July-September, in step with Thomson Reuters knowledge. According to the data, Indian firms' overall income are expected to grow 25% within the subsequent fiscal year, which would be the very best in Asia.


However, concerns nonetheless stay on the consumption and private investment front which have failed to select up in spite of the economy staging a comeback of types. Also, the finance ministry has been unsuccessful in convincing RBI for a cut in key policy charges. Analysts on the contrary say that emerging international oil costs may just pinch consumers through higher inflation and might as an alternative force the RBI to hike the charges in the second half of 2018, denting enlargement momentum.


Speaking on RBI's policy, Sumedh Deorukhkar, senior economist, BBVA, Hong Kong said, "We expect RBI to remain on pause in December and February, given upside risks to inflation as well as the fiscal deficit, exacerbated by rising oil prices and a gradually tightening global rates environment."


In some other set of knowledge released on Thursday, the blended index of 8 core industries in October, 2017 got here to be four.7 according to cent higher as compared to the index of October 2016. Its cumulative enlargement right through April to October, 2017-18 was once three.5 according to cent.


(With inputs from Reuters)
Q2 GDP growth rate at 6.3%, snaps five-quarter slide Q2 GDP growth rate at 6.3%, snaps five-quarter slide Reviewed by Kailash on November 30, 2017 Rating: 5
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