EC sets dates for 2019 mood-setter in must-win state for Modi & Shah

AHMEDABAD: The burst of firecrackers throughout Gujarat on Wednesday had nothing to do with the announcement of assembly election dates. This was once `Labh Pacham' -the fifth day of the Hindu new ye ar. Most Gujarati establishments stay closed after Diwali and reopen on this most auspicious day with particular puja and great hopes that the next one year will yield rich dividends, or `labh'.

The EC has cited floods as the reason for not on time announcement of ballot dates- an evidence that has no longer washed with everyone however by making the announcement on Labh Pancham, CEC A K Joti has honoured an age-old Gujarati tradition, which many believe is the name of the game behind the robust buying and selling neighborhood's profit-making prowess. The winners of the jack pot on the end of a campaign involving 4.33 crore voters on December 18 will either be BJP, which has been on the successful facet because the 1990 polls, or Congress which is sniffing an out of doors likelihood of having a majority within the 182-member Gujarat assembly for the primary time since 1985.

The winners of the jackpot on the end of a campaign involving 4.33 crore voters on December 18 will either be BJP, which has been on the successful facet because the 1990 polls, or Congress which is sniffing an out of doors likelihood of having a majority within the 182 member Gujarat assembly for the primary time since 1985.It's the primary time because the 2014 normal elections, which BJP swept, that the saffron celebration is seeking re-election in a major state. That method it'll struggle the incumbency factor and cannot play the challenger card.

It has been 27 years because the Congress decline started in Gujarat. If the celebration loses all over again, this will be the seventh time it'll be ceding flooring to the BJP since 1990 even though there have been brief sessions within the 1990s when the celebration propped up governments led by late Chimanbhai Patel and Shankersinh Vaghela who jilted the BJP . Gujarat 2017 will virtually without a doubt be a two-horse race with a couple of also-rans thrown in, including Vaghela's fledgling All India Hindustan Congress Party , NCP and AAP .

The major Ajit Ninan drawback for the Congress is the consistent moderate 10% hole in vote percentage between the Congress and BJP . The difference was once 9.7% in 1995, 10% in 1998, 10.6% in 2002, 11.1% in 2007 and 8.9% in 2012. The hole in vote percentage rose to a staggering 26.7% within the last Lok Sabha election when BJP gained all 26 seats. The decline within the celebration's fortunes are largely attributed to the rise of Hindutva which unbundled the Congress's outdated successful caste system of KHAM (Kshatriya, Har ijan, Adivasi and Muslim). It could by no means recuperate after the advent of Narendra Modi in late 2001 and the spice up to Hindutva because of Godhra in early 2002. Congress is seeing a conceivable revival coming no longer out of its own strength however from the assist being prolonged by younger neighborhood leaders Alpesh Thakor (OBC), Jignesh Mewani (Dalit) and Hardik Patel (Patidar).

For BJP, victory would possibly come more on issues than an outright knockout, to make use of a boxing analogy. Despite having moved out of the state, Modi remains BJP's perfect bet.Even within the face of conceivable voter fatigue after 22 years of BJP rule, he has the power to switch voters' temper with a whirlwind tour of the state, which he's going to definitely adopt.


There is, then again, one difference this time. Modi's attraction all the time lay in his speeches; he could sway the hundreds by being on the offensive - in opposition to the Godhra mob in 2002, in opposition to Sonia Gandhi's `maut ke saudagar' commentary in 2007, and in opposition to corruption in UPA-2 in 2012. But with him firmly in power within the national capital, there is not any adversarial Delhi sultanate for him to rail in opposition to in 2017. While he continues to harp on building, `vikas' has been the objective of jokes on social media in Gujarat, and GST and demonetisation have disappointed many in this entrepreneurial state.But the astute flesh presser that he's, he may also be trusted to invoke the Gujarati asmita card, emphasise the cruciality of polls for a Gujarati PM, and depend upon the BJP's strong organisational equipment - a huge plus over Congress - to try and beat back Rahul Gandhi's challenge.? If there's one state Modi and BJP president Amit Shah would no longer like to lose at any cost, it must be Gujarat.


Modi, Shah to campaign in HP in November


PM Narendra Modi and BJP leader Amit Shah are BJP's superstar campiagners for assembly elections in Himachal Pradesh and can get started addressing public conferences within the poll-bound state soon. Assembly elections within the state will probably be hung on November 9.


Modi will deal with a public assembly within the first week of November. HP chief of opposition Prem Kumar Dhumal stated the state BJP unit had proposed Modi should hang a public assembly in Una, the 3rd biggest district of the state. Modi had held a rally in Sujanpur right through 2014 parliamentary election and earlier this month he had addressed a public assembly in Bilaspur.Dhumal stated Himachal was once given 64 national highways along side cash to arrange their detailed venture reviews.
EC sets dates for 2019 mood-setter in must-win state for Modi & Shah EC sets dates for 2019 mood-setter in must-win state for Modi & Shah Reviewed by Kailash on October 26, 2017 Rating: 5
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